No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.1%
- Current value
- $73.3
- Potential payout
- $87.21
- Potential profit
- $13.91
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$5.54
Polymarket Trader
financialruleplusone
0xd15455c55d459dd11ad03b0d86fb0a48546425b7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $159.48
- Realized PnL
- $120.63
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $45.68
- Potential payout
- $47
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $40.5
- Potential payout
- $41.24
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.47
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.26
No position
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.15
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.89
No position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.96
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.46
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.58
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.28
No position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?Yes 96.3% 47 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94.9% 83.15 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90.4% 87.21 shares
- World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No 95.7% 41.24 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 99.9% 197.56 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 94.7% 197.41 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 99.8% 136.08 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 68% 50.82 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 32% 106.98 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 65% 106.98 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 92% 158.26 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No 88% 145.59 shares