DonnaB

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.77
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Anthony Garotinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.22
Potential payout: $739.98
Potential profit: $737.76
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $419.98
Potential profit: $414.73
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.59

Yes position

Will Gelson Merisio win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $298.8
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $12.74
Potential payout: $245.06
Potential profit: $232.31
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: $9.8

Yes position

Will João Rodrigues win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $8.86
Potential payout: $180.91
Potential profit: $172.05
Multiplier: 20.41x
User PnL: $7.35

Yes position

Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $11.86
Potential payout: $125.53
Potential profit: $113.67
Multiplier: 10.58x
User PnL: $7.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.86
Potential profit: $120.86
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $3.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $96.55
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Wala Blegay be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $98.15
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Torsten Bell be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.35
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $6.26
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $83.75
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: $5.35

Yes position

Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.56
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $5.21
Potential payout: $74.99
Potential profit: $69.78
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$0.91

Yes position

Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $55
User PnL: -$10.62

No position

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $5.77
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $49.23
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.53
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.48
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.78
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

Ends Mar 31, 2028

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.96
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Julie Won be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $39.99
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.32
Potential profit: $39.32
User PnL: -$12.33

Yes position

Will Requião Filho win the Governor of Paraná election?

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $6.26
Potential payout: $31.29
Potential profit: $25.03
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $2.62

Yes position

Will Orleans Brandão win the Governor of Maranhão election?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $31.16
Potential profit: $26.33
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Under position

Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

IR Iran leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 52-56% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Netherlands vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Argentina leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will voter turnout be 64%+ in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

United States leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5