OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $133.61
- Potential payout
- $862
- Potential profit
- $728.39
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$168.09
Polymarket Trader
KelseyOrtiz4634
0xd1613bfcccbe2d37b4a51b53fd372777c047bcf0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $229.1
- Realized PnL
- $2.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $72.28
- Potential payout
- $295
- Potential profit
- $222.73
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $16.23
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Current value
- $22.25
- Potential payout
- $26.13
- Potential profit
- $3.88
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Under position
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $431.59
Yes position
Will MrBeast say "MrBeast" during his next YouTube video?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.95
Yes position
Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-02-05?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $243.81
Yes position
Will John Oliver say "Congress" on Last Week Tonight?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $233.06
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $188.85
No position
Will Trump post "America Last" on Truth Social this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.26
Yes position
Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $170.06
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hannukah" or "Kwanzaa" at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Pam" or "Bondi" at Rocky Mount events on Friday?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $100.82
Under position
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.65
Over position
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.6
No position
Will Efecto be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.96
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.66
Yes position
Will "Davos" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.4
Yes position
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.83
Levante UD position
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.2
Yes position
Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.4%
- Multiplier
- 3.52x
- User PnL
- $42.9
Mercer Bears position
Mercer Bears vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers (W)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.75
Yes position
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $36.6
Yes position
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $34.3
Yes position
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.66
No position
Will Tyron Woodley win his boxing match against Anderson Silva?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.19
Yes position
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $26.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?No 79.8% 403 shares
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?No 85.9% 403 shares
- Central Arkansas Bears vs. North Alabama LionsNorth Alabama Lions 47.8% 523 shares
- Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?No 23% 435 shares
- Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?No 21% 435 shares
- Will Alianza FC win on 2026-04-19?No 71% 227 shares
- Will Alianza FC win on 2026-04-19?No 71% 48 shares
- Will Alianza FC win on 2026-04-19?No 73% 275 shares
- Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No 84% 552 shares
- Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No 85% 552 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No 50% 125 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No 50% 903 shares