No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.08
- Potential profit
- $5.08
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Polymarket Trader
0xD16d27f56D6abbAbE5EAC1220DE4E1d4ffDfD731-1773640292990
0xd16d27f56d6abbabe5eac1220de4e1d4ffdfd731
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.06
- Realized PnL
- $2.45
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.78
- Potential profit
- $3.78
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $3.29
- Potential payout
- $3.4
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- User PnL
- -$1.7
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.24
- Potential payout
- $2.24
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $1.52
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Y
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes 58.9% 3.4 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 97.3% 5.34 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 96.3% 2.24 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?No 97.8% 1.52 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 68% 2.5 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Yes 99.4% 3.02 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes 45% 3.78 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.7% 1.02 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 79% 2.41 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?No 99.3% 1.61 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 57% 4.21 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 97.6% 1.62 shares