Polymarket Trader

newwork

@ShenLu52635

0xd16fe794d7618b71b388dcd1924f1bcd3191b6dd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.58K
Realized PnL: $518.02
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$162

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$112

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 42.1%
Current value: $420.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $579.5
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $331.5

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$83

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $579.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $420.5
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: $417.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$97

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$27

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$58

No position

Will Lamine Yamal score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $670.67
Potential payout: $676.76
Potential profit: $6.09
User PnL: $9.19

No position

Will Julian Alvarez score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $339.29
Potential payout: $340.99
Potential profit: $1.7
User PnL: $3.6

No position

Will Julian Alvarez score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $229.34
Potential payout: $230.49
Potential profit: $1.15
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $221.71
Potential payout: $226
Potential profit: $4.29
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$2.06

Mbappe position

World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $99.7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.22
Potential profit: $65.22
User PnL: -$9.78

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.39
Potential profit: $15.39
User PnL: -$5.23

No position

Will Lamine Yamal score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $14.92
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.72

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.85

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.17

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.77

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or higher on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C or higher on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.7

No position

Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.15

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.49

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.42

No position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.91

No position

Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.75

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.61

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Julian Alvarez score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.5% 42 shares
Will Julian Alvarez score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.7% 230.49 shares
Will Julian Alvarez score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.5% 100 shares
Will Julian Alvarez score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.4% 98.99 shares
Will Lamine Yamal score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.6% 475.37 shares
Will the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on July 9?

Yes 99.7% 51.65 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 9?

No 99.9% 104.36 shares
World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe

Mbappe 99.4% 100 shares
Will Lamine Yamal score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98% 160.19 shares
Will Lamine Yamal score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.9% 41.2 shares
Will Lamine Yamal score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.5% 15 shares
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

Yes 94.5% 34 shares