Polymarket Trader

happy666

0xd17e2edc06063207c186f8089a513a04046b7a0c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.33K
Realized PnL: $2.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.96K
Potential profit: $3.96K
User PnL: -$3.92K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 10AM ET

Ends Oct 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$929.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $681.91
Potential profit: $681.91
User PnL: -$672.09

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $630.07
Potential payout: $648.22
Potential profit: $18.15
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $24.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5AM ET

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$475

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $417.57
Potential payout: $429.6
Potential profit: $12.03
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $17.52

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225
Potential profit: $225
User PnL: -$214

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $152.13
Potential payout: $155
Potential profit: $2.87
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.18
Potential profit: $123.18
User PnL: -$115.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $27.16
Potential payout: $53.79
Potential profit: $26.63
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 40.3%
Current value: $20.49
Potential payout: $50.84
Potential profit: $30.35
Multiplier: 2.48x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $41.55
Potential payout: $43.28
Potential profit: $1.73
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $37.94
Potential payout: $38.26
Potential profit: $0.33
User PnL: $1.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.18
Potential profit: $20.18
User PnL: -$16.55

Down position

Solana Up or Down - July 28, 5AM ET

Ends Jul 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $2.19
Potential profit: $1.11
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10AM ET

Ends Aug 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7AM ET

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10PM ET

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 7PM ET

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.48

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 29, 8AM ET

Ends Aug 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.95

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8PM ET

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10AM ET

Ends Oct 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.8

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 10PM ET

Ends Sep 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5AM ET

Ends Oct 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.41

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3AM ET

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.46

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 9AM ET

Ends Aug 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.83

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.6

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8AM ET

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.8

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 10AM ET

Ends Sep 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.57

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 11PM ET

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11AM ET

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 23?

Yes 96% 55 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 23?

Yes 97.2% 55 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 23?

No 96.7% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 23?

Yes 95% 50 shares
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 23?

Yes 92% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 23?

Yes 92% 15 shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 23?

Yes 41.3% 15 shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 23?

Yes 40.4% 11 shares
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 23?

Yes 38.4% 39.84 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 23?

Yes 98% 50 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 23?

No 94.6% 31 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 23?

No 94.1% 110 shares