Polymarket Trader

234g4

0xd18210055286afe1c19d95bf7ab6d67f572b941e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $95.42
Realized PnL: $8.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$82

Yes position

Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.48
Potential profit: $147.48
User PnL: -$18.44

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4.75

Yes position

Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$11.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $39.9
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $20.1
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $14.1

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $59.98
Potential profit: $55.78
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$24.59

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$14.5

Yes position

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $5.8
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $44.2
Multiplier: 8.62x
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.7%
Current value: $32.32
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $17.67
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$3.67

No position

Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.99
Potential profit: $39.99
User PnL: -$7.5

No position

Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $7.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.4
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$9.6

Yes position

Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.8

No position

Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$9.4

Yes position

Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $16.89
Potential profit: $15.87
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $0.06

Salesforce position

Databricks vs Salesforce - higher valuation on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.26
Potential profit: $12.26
User PnL: -$5.76

No position

Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $0.96
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Wild position

Wild vs. Capitals

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

No position

Will Wolves win on 2025-01-06?

Ends Jan 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18K

Texans position

Texans vs. Titans

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

Lakers position

Hawks vs. Lakers

Ends Jan 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $133.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $83

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $73.8

Yes position

Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $73

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70.9

Yes position

Will France strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.2

No position

Will Bernie Sanders applaud during Trump's State of the Union?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.3

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $50.5

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $42

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.73

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.48

Yes position

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.22

No position

Will "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.5

Yes position

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.11

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.85

No position

Will "War Machine" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 62% 50 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 61% 15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

No 10% 45.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

No 10% 45.5 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Yes 13.4% 100 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 87.7% 14.62 shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 50% 135 shares
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

No 67% 100 shares
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Yes 68% 50 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

No 35% 50 shares
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?

Yes 31% 50 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 20?

Yes 69% 19.99 shares