Yes position
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?
Ends Aug 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
degenpeterturchin2025
0xd188394ebc9757df38f51c43fde165668f58ae31
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $214.65
- Realized PnL
- $986.94
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $2.32K
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $42.97
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$3.02
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $15.76
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Yes position
Will Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $986.46
- Potential profit
- $986.46
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $975.05
- Potential profit
- $975.05
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $841.67
- Potential profit
- $841.67
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will "Safaera" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $798.09
- Potential profit
- $798.09
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $720.8
- Potential profit
- $720.8
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $81.96
- Potential payout
- $712.7
- Potential profit
- $630.74
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $6.96
Yes position
Will Marty Supreme win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $660.93
- Potential profit
- $660.93
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will "La Santa" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $640
- Potential profit
- $640
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will "Ojitos Lindos" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $637.75
- Potential profit
- $637.75
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will The Voice of Hind Rajab win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $632.02
- Potential profit
- $632.02
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will "MIA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will "Te Boté - Remix" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $618.74
- Potential profit
- $618.74
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $612.14
- Potential profit
- $612.14
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $28.61
- Potential payout
- $577.88
- Potential profit
- $549.28
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $2.61
Yes position
Will Sentimental Value win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $550.35
- Potential profit
- $550.35
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Sirāt win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $505.66
- Potential profit
- $505.66
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $41.31
- Potential payout
- $428.09
- Potential profit
- $386.78
- Multiplier
- 10.36x
- User PnL
- $20.31
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $4.04
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $380.58
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$5.96
Yes position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $382.19
- Potential profit
- $382.19
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.29
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.57
No position
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.58
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.12
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
No position
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.58
Yes position
Will Netflix acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.39
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.31
Yes position
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.03
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.22
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.57
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.32
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.25
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.17
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.76
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.74
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.19
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.41
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Yes position
Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.57
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 23.9% 20.92 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 66% 30.3 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 12% 83.33 shares
- Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Yes 0.9% 150.7 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 6% 15.62 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes 0.3% 34.48 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?Yes 0.6% 50 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 3.2% 283.33 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.2% 49.02 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.6% 47.17 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 31.06 shares