Polymarket Trader

rwo

0xd189664c5308903476f9f079820431e4fd7d06f4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $232.5
Realized PnL: $9.99M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $232.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $267.5
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $12.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.98M

Yes position

Will Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $763.06K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $527.96K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $416.43K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29?

Ends Aug 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.22K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.66K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.46K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.56K

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.71K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.84K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.7K

76ers position

Knicks vs. 76ers

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $62.38K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112K and $114K on September 3?

Ends Sep 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.85K

Yes position

Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.2K

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.14K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.35K

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4,100 on October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.37K

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4,000 on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.03K

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Thunder

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.93K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.63K

Kings position

Clippers vs. Kings

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.21K

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.87K

Knicks position

Pistons vs. Knicks

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.33K

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4,100 on October 12?

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.05K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Up 99.3% 123.39 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Down 1% 3,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Down 1% 3,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Down 19% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Down 79% 200 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Up 32% 200 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Down 66% 200 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Up 51.3% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Down 70.2% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Up 32.4% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Up 98.5% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Up 96% 100 shares