Feliz1990

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $3.35K
Potential payout: $4.02K
Potential profit: $662.76
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.36K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $336.39
Potential payout: $606.1
Potential profit: $269.71
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$68.72

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $577.78
Potential payout: $605
Potential profit: $27.23
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $223.93

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $536.86
Potential payout: $580.39
Potential profit: $43.53
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $308.55

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 14?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $290.67
Potential payout: $317.67
Potential profit: $27
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $203.87

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $224.69
Potential payout: $232.12
Potential profit: $7.43
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $67.72

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $141.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $8.25
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $72.75

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $108.68
Potential payout: $115
Potential profit: $6.33
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $56.98

Grizzlies position

Spread: Knicks (-9.5)

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $95.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $40.78

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $72
User PnL: -$49.08

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $45.3
Potential payout: $66.14
Potential profit: $20.83
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $11.57

Bucks position

Bucks vs. Hornets

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$20

Bulls position

Bulls vs. Pistons

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$18

Jazz position

Hawks vs. Jazz

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$20

Mavericks position

Suns vs. Mavericks

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will BNB reach $1200 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $27.6
Potential payout: $30.16
Potential profit: $2.56
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $11.24

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $26.13
Potential payout: $28.1
Potential profit: $1.97
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $15.74

Yes position

Will Semisi Sika be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.52
Potential profit: $24.52
User PnL: -$2.56

Yes position

Will Siaosi Sovaleni be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.4
Potential profit: $21.4
User PnL: -$2.25

Bucks position

Lakers vs. Bucks

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $18.87
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Les Démocrates (LD) win the most seats in the 2026 Benin parliamentary election?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.08

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.58

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.56

Jazz position

Pacers vs. Jazz

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Heat

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.5

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on November 29?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

Heat position

Cavaliers vs. Heat

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Bulls

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

76ers position

Celtics vs. 76ers

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Alcaraz position

ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Magic position

Trail Blazers vs. Magic

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 9?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.6

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.18

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 28?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.45

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.88

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 29?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.8

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.78

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?