Polymarket Trader

0xD19015Cc33b6F83D26Ed83a37E2E73b82faFEffB-1759374734904

0xd19015cc33b6f83d26ed83a37e2e73b82fafeffb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.91
Realized PnL: $35.36
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2500000 and 2750000?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

John Bolton federally charged by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will there be at least 1750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$2.7

No position

Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will ANO form a government after Czech election ?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$1

No position

Grokipedia released by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.5
Potential profit: $21.5
User PnL: -$1

No position

Grokipedia released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the US loose jobs in September?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.54
Potential profit: $18.54
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $8.91
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $9.09
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will PepsiCo (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.49
Potential profit: $14.49
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Richardson Electronics (RELL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Atlas global browser market share 1%+ on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will McCormick & Company (MKC) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.4
Potential profit: $8.4
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Stable announce an ICO by October 24?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.23

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.92

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

No position

Will Taylor Swift say "Tour" 2+ times during Tonight Show on October 6?

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53

Yes position

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Yes position

Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

No position

Pump.fun all time high by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will Taylor Swift say "Travis" or "Kelce" 3+ times during Tonight Show on October 6?

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

No position

French election called by October 17?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Will Exxon Mobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

TikTok sale announced by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

No 10% 10 shares
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

No 71% 7 shares
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Yes 88% 5 shares
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?

Yes 7.2% 13.89 shares
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

No 31% 5.42 shares
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

No 51% 5 shares
Will there be at least 1750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

No 1% 150 shares
Will there be at least 1750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

No 0.8% 100 shares
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Yes 27% 5 shares
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

No 38% 5 shares
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?

Yes 12% 8.33 shares