Polymarket Trader

MessiIsTheRealGoat

0xd190e42b61b65695b2ff19c4b00a7d818e9eff8b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $85.1
Realized PnL: $3.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $19.97
Potential payout: $20.49
Potential profit: $0.52
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $15.02
Potential payout: $15.21
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $10.04
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $9.94
Potential payout: $10.13
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $10.05
Potential payout: $10.11
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Caio Borralho be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $10.04
Potential payout: $10.1
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Exequiel Palacios: 2+ goals

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.06
Potential payout: $10.06
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will Lance Stroll finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

fnatic position

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Under position

Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Sweden?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Serena Williams be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Ghana?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Under position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Under position

United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Franco Colapinto finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Francisco Cerúndolo be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 15?

Yes 96% 10.42 shares
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 14?

Yes 99.7% 20.06 shares
Exequiel Palacios: 2+ goals

No 99.5% 10.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 13?

Yes 95% 10.53 shares
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs

fnatic 98% 10.2 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 14?

No 99.6% 10.04 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 11?

Yes 99.4% 10.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C or below on July 12?

No 99.4% 10.06 shares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

No 98.7% 10.13 shares
Will Caio Borralho be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

No 99% 10.1 shares
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-07-11?

No 98.1% 10.19 shares
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by July 31, 2026?

No 98.6% 15.21 shares