Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $9.17
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $157.5
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Polymarket Trader
Pedroaa
0xd19363eeeafa849da320d5ed2c6135f21a64dc06
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $27.61
- Realized PnL
- $2.44
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $10.05
- Potential payout
- $54.95
- Potential profit
- $44.89
- Multiplier
- 5.46x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $6.32
- Potential payout
- $18.87
- Potential profit
- $12.55
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$3.68
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.9%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $4.67
- Potential profit
- $3.61
- Multiplier
- 4.38x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.1% 12.5 shares
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?Yes 21.4% 4.67 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.3% 8.92 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 88% 12.5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 74% 14.92 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.2% 8.93 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 94.7% 1.06 shares
- Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?No 18.2% 54.95 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 67% 14.93 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Yes 6% 166.67 shares
- RFK Jr. Out by December 31?Yes 53% 18.87 shares