Avatar position
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $417
- Potential profit
- $417
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Polymarket Trader
tchavez
0xd19d61a4a863ee8b1828fd9268c24f3bc9474c91
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $79.5
- Realized PnL
- $1.22
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $397
- Potential profit
- $397
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93
- Potential profit
- $93
- User PnL
- -$0.37
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $79.5
- Potential payout
- $81
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 14?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 98% 81 shares
- Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.6% 113 shares
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.7% 79 shares
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.8% 79 shares
- Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.6% 114 shares
- Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.7% 227 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 5.6% 167 shares
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.7% 74 shares
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 99.8% 74 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 0.1% 272 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 0.4% 365 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 6.2% 5 shares