No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $30.4
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.17K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$17.69
Polymarket Trader
ForSale
0xd1a844168b376595171e21f95f2f2245434bfb82
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $198.23
- Realized PnL
- $3.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $12.45
- Potential payout
- $1.91K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 9?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- User PnL
- -$255.01
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 16?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- User PnL
- -$6.44
Yes position
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$174.78
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$51.77
Yes position
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$190.66
No position
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.6–0.7%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.49
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $809.47
- Potential profit
- $809.47
- User PnL
- -$85.74
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $2.74
- Potential payout
- $783.28
- Potential profit
- $780.54
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$63.39
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 15?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $772
- Potential profit
- $772
- User PnL
- -$8.16
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $740.66
- Potential profit
- $740.66
- User PnL
- -$26.29
No position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $706.77
- Potential profit
- $706.77
- User PnL
- -$4.97
No position
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $677
- Potential profit
- $677
- User PnL
- -$1.97
No position
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $150.14
- Potential payout
- $527
- Potential profit
- $376.86
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $2.71
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $505
- Potential profit
- $504.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $473
- Potential profit
- $473
- User PnL
- -$4.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.28
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.96
No position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.27
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $178.44
Yes position
Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.21
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $160.62
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.74
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.2
No position
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $123.52
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 7?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.39
Yes position
Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.46
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.07
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.55
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.91
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.2
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.5
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.13
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.31
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.18
Yes position
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.51
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.94
No position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 64% 223.45 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 25% 18.34 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 25% 215.69 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 1.4% 2,000 shares
- Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?No 28% 100 shares
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?Yes 0.1% 189.25 shares
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Yes 0.2% 275.67 shares
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?Yes 0.2% 206.87 shares
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.6–0.7%?Yes 0.1% 100 shares
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?Yes 0.1% 100 shares
- Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?No 28% 18 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 11% 479.47 shares