Polymarket Trader

0xd1b8fB2Ab39B6E4d14b7273dCF3a51e5D9E0413C-1772204051948

0xd1b8fb2ab39b6e4d14b7273dcf3a51e5d9e0413c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.22
Realized PnL: $40.64
Win rate: 55%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $128.21
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.64
Potential profit: $91.64
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.08
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.36
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$4.91

Yes position

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.13
Potential profit: $39.13
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.38
Potential profit: $28.38
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.48
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $10.43
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $7.71
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.38

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: March

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.26
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $4.2
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.03
Potential profit: $4.03
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5
Potential profit: $1.5
User PnL: -$0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.05

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.98

Yes position

Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-02-28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Khamenei seen in public by March 1?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Multiplier: 22.99x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.67

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.83

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Netanyahu out by June 30?

Yes 11% 45.45 shares
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.5% 123.77 shares
Netanyahu out by April 30?

Yes 3.9% 128.21 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

Yes 0.9% 555.56 shares
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

Yes 99.7% 14.49 shares
Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?

Yes 63% 4.76 shares
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 46.74 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 3.5% 76.92 shares
Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?

Yes 58% 8.62 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 27.77 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Yes 16% 31.25 shares