No position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $64.33
- Potential payout
- $83
- Potential profit
- $18.67
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $22.83
Polymarket Trader
0xd1cc...48ad
0xd1cc1b996f4e72cd1cac44ad31101ead270548ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $75.71
- Realized PnL
- -$17.6
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $13.81
- Multiplier
- 12.58x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $3.99
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $10.01
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$1.89
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $10.09
- Multiplier
- 6.27x
- User PnL
- -$4.16
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.96
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $2.54
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 8.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $6.04
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$24.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 11.6% 15 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 80% 5 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 87.3% 5 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 72% 5 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 92.9% 5 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 82% 12 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 18% 13 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 49% 7 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes 51% 11 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 50.6% 12 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 42% 14 shares