Polymarket Trader

Benja

0xd1d834774d3b252b71b9c803399d9e62590eeb94

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $558.32
Realized PnL: -$878.35
Win rate: 17.4%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Chile wins Copa America 2024?

Ends Jul 14, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.68K
Potential profit: $2.68K
User PnL: -$66.97

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $92.34
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $2.04K
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$7.66

Yes position

Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $238.1
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.48
Potential profit: $190.48
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Qatar finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $29.42
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $81.59
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$14.71

Yes position

Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $20.71
Potential payout: $106.21
Potential profit: $85.5
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$8.58

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $31
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $69
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $68.99
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $31.01
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $0.99

Up position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $29.4
Potential payout: $98
Potential profit: $68.6
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$14.68

Yes position

Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$20

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $60.2
Potential payout: $86
Potential profit: $25.8
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $12.24

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $24.3
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $56.7
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $2.43

Yes position

Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 46.8%
Current value: $37.83
Potential payout: $80.92
Potential profit: $43.09
Multiplier: 2.14x
User PnL: -$12.17

Yes position

Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $13.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $66.8
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$6.8

Yes position

Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $54.92
Potential payout: $75.76
Potential profit: $20.83
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $4.92

Yes position

Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$50

No position

Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $46.54
Potential payout: $63.32
Potential profit: $16.78
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Iran finish second in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.27
Potential profit: $46.27
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $17.44
Potential payout: $45.9
Potential profit: $28.46
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $20.79
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $21.21
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $11.23
Potential payout: $37.44
Potential profit: $26.21
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$2.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $106.89

Yes position

Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.94

Yes position

Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.34

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 84.7%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.7

No position

Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

Ends Nov 5, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Fed rate cut by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$33.01

No position

Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$34.49

Yes position

Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$245

Yes position

Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$721.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?

Yes 24% 30.21 shares
Will the announcers say "Foul" 7+ times during the Uruguay vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?

No 37% 35 shares
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

Yes 91% 3.84 shares
Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?

No 64.4% 34.32 shares
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

No 5% 49.99 shares
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

No 35% 97 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Down 54% 48 shares
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 90% 111.11 shares
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 97.9% 94.93 shares
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 25% 80 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.7% 2,127.66 shares
Will Iran finish second in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 43.2% 46.27 shares