Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.57
- Potential profit
- $67.57
- User PnL
- -$25
Polymarket Trader
0xd1dd243b434ccedcd2897cf6b635fF21FEB0115e-1782306588543
0xd1dd243b434ccedcd2897cf6b635ff21feb0115e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.99
- Realized PnL
- $227.13
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $60.24
- Potential profit
- $60.15
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$19.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $47.4
- Potential profit
- $47.37
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.32
- Potential profit
- $40.32
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.14
- Potential profit
- $23.14
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $21.74
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.58
- Potential profit
- $19.58
- User PnL
- -$4.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.64
- Potential profit
- $15.64
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $9.85
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $10.42
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.4
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $6.58
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $6.49
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $4.13
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.17
- Potential profit
- $6.17
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.1
- Potential profit
- $6.1
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $13.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 5?Yes 9.1% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 5?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 5?Yes 32% 3.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 5?Yes 32% 3.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?Yes 92.1% 15.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on July 4?Yes 2.1% 47.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?Yes 6.6% 15.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on July 3?Yes 0.1% 816.79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 3?Yes 8.5% 11.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 3?Yes 0.9% 117.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 3?Yes 0.4% 275.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 3?Yes 57% 4.54 shares