Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$90
Polymarket Trader
0xd1e1...69a6
0xd1e1e6dfb3bcb646a1f0f8d44471767286e069a6
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $432.55
- Realized PnL
- $1.18K
- Win rate
- 53.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88K
- Potential profit
- $5.88K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.2%
- Current value
- $415.2
- Potential payout
- $1.72K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 4.13x
- User PnL
- $315.2
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $855.78
- Potential profit
- $852.78
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$97
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$42
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.6%
- Current value
- $4.36
- Potential payout
- $5.84
- Potential profit
- $1.48
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $4.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $118.34
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.23
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $67.36
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.57
No position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.21
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$22.54
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.71
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$88.55
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$374.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.5% 20,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 1.7% 5,882.35 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 79.4% 408.5 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Yes 5.8% 1,715.71 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Yes 11.7% 855.78 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 40.4% 1,301.69 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 50% 2,600 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No 94% 1,277.23 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes 27% 1,231.58 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes 18% 387 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes 28% 357.14 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?Yes 54.7% 59.14 shares