Polymarket Trader

0xD1eC4D79E12DA348FCa0B33AAA8e9a7F921c62Bd-1768589414694

0xd1ec4d79e12da348fca0b33aaa8e9a7f921c62bd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $23.28
Realized PnL: $17.85
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.56
Potential payout: $375
Potential profit: $374.44
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $3.69
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $234.41
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$1.31

Yes position

Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.05
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 18, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $55.68
Potential profit: $55.4
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $34.38
Potential profit: $33.05
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $28.99
Potential profit: $27.06
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $7.11
Potential payout: $21.88
Potential profit: $14.77
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $14.73
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $10.35
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $10.28
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $9.9
Potential profit: $9.3
Multiplier: 16.39x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.89
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $6.25
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $6.32
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $3.52
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $0.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 91.7%
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 30.5%
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Multiplier: 5.90x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 6.9% 28.99 shares
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 AND England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

28.9% 9.86 shares
Harry Kane: 2+ goals AND England to score first vs. Argentina?

7.9% 12 shares
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?

Yes 5% 16.66 shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?

Yes 2.7% 12.25 shares
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

Yes 30% 10.34 shares
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Yes 17% 11.76 shares
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?

Yes 83% 2.38 shares
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals AND France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 AND Will England win on 2026-07-15? AND Will France win on 2026-07-14?

2.7% 35.19 shares
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?

Yes 1% 100 shares
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares