Polymarket Trader

chefradish

0xd1eed20edd22a289839379e89e3470ea1742a8ae

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $635.64
Realized PnL: $10.98K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.28K
Potential profit: $19.28K
User PnL: -$333.12

Yes position

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $516.29
Potential payout: $10.65K
Potential profit: $10.13K
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$3.74

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.31K
Potential profit: $10.31K
User PnL: -$525.12

Yes position

Will Oliver rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.94K
Potential profit: $7.94K
User PnL: -$17.99

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 58m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.5K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.03K
Potential profit: $6.03K
User PnL: -$241.66

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.93K
Potential profit: $5.93K
User PnL: -$1.9K

Yes position

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.54K
Potential profit: $5.54K
User PnL: -$373.99

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.43K
Potential profit: $5.43K
User PnL: -$497.81

Yes position

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.41K
Potential profit: $4.41K
User PnL: -$440.31

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.21K
Potential profit: $4.21K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $94,000 on November 16?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.18K
Potential profit: $4.18K
User PnL: -$87.43

Yes position

Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.9K
Potential profit: $3.9K
User PnL: -$59.96

Yes position

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.8% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.79K
Potential profit: $3.79K
User PnL: -$62.71

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $3.21K
User PnL: -$22.31

Yes position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $34.17
Potential payout: $2.73K
Potential profit: $2.7K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $13.22

Yes position

Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $2.31K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $23.67
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.23K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$68.95

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$94.52

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$34

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $18.5
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.83K
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$96.09

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $43.01
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$156.98

Yes position

Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.74K
User PnL: -$552

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.68K
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $2.2K

Yes position

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $852.74

Yes position

Bitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?

Ends Nov 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $742.27

Yes position

2024 July hottest on record?

Ends Jul 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $662.04

Yes position

SOLETH above 0.058 on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $471.45

Yes position

Bitcoin above $68,000 on November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $424.72

Yes position

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $322.83

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $319.46

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,400 on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303.73

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302.38

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,500 on September 27?

Ends Sep 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.27

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $271.79

Yes position

Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $240.89

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.56

Yes position

Solana above $155 on October 25?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.76

No position

Solana above $155 on October 4?

Ends Oct 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.38

Yes position

Ethereum above $2,400 on September 20?

Ends Sep 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.22

Texas Rangers position

Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.66

No position

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.47

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.39

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.15

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.03

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves

Milwaukee Brewers 71% 32.39 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 47% 63.83 shares
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?

No 96.1% 416.23 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 89% 449.44 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 58% 172.41 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 89% 224.72 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 89% 112.36 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 59% 169.49 shares
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Under 91% 329.67 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 4.5

Under 90% 555.56 shares
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Yes 23% 434.78 shares
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5

Over 79% 379.75 shares