Polymarket Trader

umlauts

0xd206dea8298a23d1f7817b1c4dd0e3600a286f8f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.44
Realized PnL: $5.17K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $99
Potential profit: $97.86
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $34.7
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.63K

Yes position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $569.34

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.1%
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: $315.56

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.8%
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: $278.25

Yes position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.8%
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: $75.5

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $67.9

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $67.59

Yes position

Will Alanyaspor vs. Samsunspor end in a draw?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.48

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.2%
Multiplier: 13.89x
User PnL: $33.46

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.45

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.2

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $31.55

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 6AM ET

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.17

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.93

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 10AM ET

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.13

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.83

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.43

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.16

Up position

XRP Up or Down - January 5, 2PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.08

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.47

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.42

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 28, 9PM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 97.4% 10.31 shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 3.7% 426 shares
Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?

Yes 9.2% 304 shares
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 97.9% 427 shares
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Alexander Volkov 55% 2,565 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Yes 9% 100 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

No 17.5% 1,100 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 26% 15,446 shares
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?

No 3.3% 711 shares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 95.2% 197.99 shares
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?

No 50% 100 shares
Madrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jakub Mensik

Karen Khachanov 36% 7,164.27 shares