Polymarket Trader

MurphyRonald

0xd215c962f50558c21fd52160e932d1eb2cd16f82

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $23.12
Realized PnL: $12.43
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Timberwolves position

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.86K
Potential profit: $13.86K
User PnL: -$6.93K

Jazz position

Spread: Kings (-2.5)

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.58K
Potential profit: $4.58K
User PnL: -$2.2K

Over position

Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.54
Potential profit: $189.54
User PnL: -$98.56

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $4.04
Potential payout: $13.69
Potential profit: $9.65
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$4.72

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $10.85
Potential payout: $12.12
Potential profit: $1.27
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $2.85

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.6%
Current value: $8.23
Potential payout: $11.67
Potential profit: $3.44
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$0.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Yes 64% 13.69 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

No 75% 11.67 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?

No 66% 12.12 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 83% 21.69 shares
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5

Under 80% 25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 22?

No 90.1% 16.65 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?

No 97.9% 51.07 shares
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5

Over 52% 186.77 shares
Spread: Kings (-2.5)

Jazz 48% 4,583.33 shares
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

Timberwolves 50% 13,860 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?

No 97% 7.22 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Yes 95% 4.21 shares