No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $840.63
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$350.96
Polymarket Trader
CantFindMe
0xd2212bdaf1c7a964dd777cbcea79a2de8ad2bc06
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $840.63
- Realized PnL
- $2.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $435.93
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.93
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.14
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.73
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.23
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.81
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.28
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.84
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.9
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.71
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.75
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.5
No position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.07
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.21
No position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.7
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.51
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.05
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.43
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.31
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.24
No position
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.49
Yes position
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.94
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 63.1% 992.94 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 63% 896.11 shares
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No 97.5% 120.94 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No 86.6% 529.69 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?No 88% 529.69 shares
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No 89.3% 120.94 shares
- Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?No 96% 112.52 shares
- Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?No 92.4% 111.44 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 50.2% 99.6 shares
- Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?No 88% 60.44 shares
- Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?No 91% 549.54 shares
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No 97% 445.02 shares