Polymarket Trader

0xD222ac4160bE5850C7fA435E7131d9e7cd47fDB5-1766006684362

0xd222ac4160be5850c7fa435e7131d9e7cd47fdb5

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $832.68
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $148.63
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.42K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$92.56

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$172

Yes position

Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.8%
Current value: $119.64
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 10.20x
User PnL: $11.06

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $95.59
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $910.66
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$135.55

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $621.49
Potential profit: $619.93
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$59.08

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $20.78
Potential payout: $500.84
Potential profit: $480.05
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$23.21

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $50.28
Potential payout: $478.84
Potential profit: $428.56
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$15.52

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $477.52
Potential profit: $477.52
User PnL: -$9.36

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $49.19
Potential payout: $335.78
Potential profit: $286.59
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $18.05

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $35.08
Potential payout: $305.07
Potential profit: $269.99
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Will Bank of America fail by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $299.77
Potential profit: $298.72
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$12.45

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $13.66
Potential payout: $276.01
Potential profit: $262.34
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.23
Potential profit: $210.23
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $30.23
Potential payout: $208.51
Potential profit: $178.28
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$12.77

Yes position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $37.29
Potential payout: $201.56
Potential profit: $164.27
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$12.42

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $22.57
Potential payout: $180.54
Potential profit: $157.97
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$7.43

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $55.32
Potential payout: $124.33
Potential profit: $69
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$2.17

Yes position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $50.14
Potential payout: $102.32
Potential profit: $52.18
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$3.86

Yes position

Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $19.18
Potential payout: $72.38
Potential profit: $53.2
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $33.53
Potential payout: $72.1
Potential profit: $38.57
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $18.96
Potential payout: $70.21
Potential profit: $51.26
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.66
Potential profit: $50.66
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $43.17
Potential profit: $13.17
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?

Yes 4.5% 112.24 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 5% 120 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.4% 137.14 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.1% 133.38 shares
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 62% 16.13 shares
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 64% 20.31 shares
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 48% 20.83 shares
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 45% 11.11 shares
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 30% 16.67 shares
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 30% 3.33 shares
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 30% 16.67 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.6% 150.09 shares