Polymarket Trader

WeatherNotPro

@EthYfii

0xd24bd1c463eb479d1c91eae3d9e39abf0b38187d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.75K
Realized PnL: $7.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $22.75
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $6.48K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $6.49K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.75

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.99K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Amad Diallo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.98K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.99K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $29
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $17
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $24.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$15.75

Yes position

Will Antoine Semenyo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $31.49
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $11.39

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $17.4
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$1.8

No position

Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $735
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $265
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $20.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $979.49
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$684

Yes position

Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $319.94
Potential payout: $831
Potential profit: $511.07
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$12.47

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $332.5
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $367.5
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$24.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $273
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $327
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$99

No position

Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $492
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $108
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $132

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $23.7
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $576.3
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $332.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $167.5
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$42.5

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $498.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$10.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $695.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $576.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C or higher on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $419.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $347.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $318.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.82

Over position

England vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.9

Yes position

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $189.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $137.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 17?

Yes 99% 108.89 shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 17?

Yes 92% 52 shares
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 17?

Yes 99% 38 shares
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 17?

Yes 89% 38 shares
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on June 17?

Yes 92% 23.7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on June 17?

Yes 90% 52 shares
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 17?

Yes 63.5% 78.78 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 17?

Yes 50% 0.39 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 17?

Yes 88% 6 shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 17?

No 98.8% 101 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 17?

Yes 95% 15.53 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 17?

Yes 68% 42 shares