Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $10.34
- Potential profit
- $9.47
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$2.12
Polymarket Trader
saharnotsarah.eth
0xd26096ed75fadd17c3fde4aaeaea0025a5fa54a1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.1
- Realized PnL
- $66.57
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.4%
- Current value
- $1.72
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $5.97
- Multiplier
- 4.47x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.28
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $1.41
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $1.35
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.58
Yes position
1,415+ Measles cases in U.S. by September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.08
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
Yes position
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56
Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Yes position
Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05
No position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Yes position
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Falcons
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
Patriots position
Patriots vs. Bengals
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.39
Patriots position
Patriots vs. Ravens
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Capitals position
Capitals vs. Sharks
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin close above $115K on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
Patriots position
Giants vs. Patriots
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
Will MrBeast say Insane during next video?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Yes position
Will XRP reach $3.10 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?
Ends Aug 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Hornets
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Vikings position
Vikings vs. Giants
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Avalanche position
Panthers vs. Avalanche
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?Yes 63% 1.59 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 14% 4.34 shares
- Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?Yes 23% 2.22 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes 64% 1.56 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes 71% 1.41 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.8% 1.44 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 23?Yes 82% 1.22 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 69% 1.45 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 77% 1.3 shares
- Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February?No 60% 2.5 shares
- Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?No 89% 1.35 shares
- Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes 16% 6.25 shares