Polymarket Trader

iris-sprakle

0xd260be89342baeb6fd6c0afa56831fddd7ff7c65

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $165.02
Realized PnL: $32.02
Win rate: 57.1%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 75.9%
Current value: $83.53
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $26.47
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$10.53

Yes position

Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71
Potential profit: $71
User PnL: -$9.94

No position

Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $47.43
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $14.57
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $4.13

Yes position

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $38.38
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$2.78

Yes position

Will Ilya Sorokin win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $27
User PnL: -$12.07

Yes position

Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.6

No position

Will Trump say "Nine Wars" or "Ninth War" in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$14.2

No position

Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.6

Tomas Etcheverry position

BNP Paribas Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Denis Shapovalov

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$7.4

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6

KK Crvena Zvezda position

KK Crvena Zvezda vs. FC Bayern Munchen

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$9.36

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $3.19
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $7.81
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$2.2

No position

SSC Napoli vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.7

No position

Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $3.95
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $3.05
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$1.58

No position

Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $4.59
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $1.41
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will Kawhi Leonard lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.43
Potential profit: $5.43
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.3
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$1.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne position

Anadolu Efes vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.6

Harry Wendelken position

Hersonissos: Lukas Neumayer vs Harry Wendelken

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.4

Paris Basketball position

Saski Baskonia vs. Paris Basketball

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.14

No position

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.96

Yes position

Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-03-06?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.8

Abedallah Shelbayh position

Hersonissos: Toby Samuel vs Abedallah Shelbayh

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Saski Baskonia vs. Paris Basketball

Paris Basketball 42% 19.2 shares
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. FC Bayern Munchen

KK Crvena Zvezda 78% 12 shares
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-03-07?

Yes 23% 20 shares
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?

Yes 14% 71 shares
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 75% 78.71 shares
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-07?

Yes 30% 20 shares
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-03-06?

Yes 24% 20 shares
BNP Paribas Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Denis Shapovalov

Tomas Etcheverry 37% 20 shares
Hersonissos: Lukas Neumayer vs Harry Wendelken

Harry Wendelken 43% 20 shares
Hersonissos: Toby Samuel vs Abedallah Shelbayh

Abedallah Shelbayh 25% 20 shares
Anadolu Efes vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne

ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne 24% 10 shares
Will Ilya Sorokin win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?

Yes 44.7% 5 shares