Polymarket Trader

OhneScharf

0xd2770343da54f1a2ed7305dbf83eeefa4a8b73fe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10K
Realized PnL: $24.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $105
Potential payout: $70K
Potential profit: $69.89K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$455

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $5K
Potential payout: $18.18K
Potential profit: $13.18K
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $1K

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $97.87
Potential payout: $4.16K
Potential profit: $4.07K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $69.88

Under position

Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.22K
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $134.17
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.44K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$683.8

Yes position

Will Ausar Thompson win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.58K
User PnL: -$14.95

Yes position

Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $356.41
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $4.28

Yes position

Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$522.99

Yes position

Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$138.96

No position

Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $109.17
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $21.7

Under position

CD Castellón vs. Burgos CF: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$196.81

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $35.97
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $19.29

Yes position

Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $638.09
Potential payout: $989.28
Potential profit: $351.19
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $28.09

Yes position

Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $970.8
Potential profit: $970.8
User PnL: -$542.23

Bosnia and Herzegovina position

Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $955.35
Potential profit: $955.35
User PnL: -$800

No position

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.9%
Current value: $873.25
Potential payout: $950.22
Potential profit: $76.97
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $189.55

No position

Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $916.07
Potential profit: $916.07
User PnL: -$473.8

No position

Alexander Sorloth: Anytime Goalscorer

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $889.92
Potential profit: $889.92
User PnL: -$685.24

Yes position

Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $761.01
Potential payout: $859.89
Potential profit: $98.89
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $219.27

Under position

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $787.28
Potential profit: $787.28
User PnL: -$75

No position

Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $243.87
Potential payout: $774.19
Potential profit: $530.32
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $3.87

No position

Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $741.79
Potential profit: $741.79
User PnL: -$268.55

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $726.5
Potential profit: $726.5
User PnL: -$15

No position

Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorer

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $679.76
Potential profit: $679.76
User PnL: -$314.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69K

No position

Will Lucas Pinheiro Braathen (BRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

Leo Team position

Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs Leo Team (BO3)

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

Yes position

Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

Will Real Oviedo vs. Osasuna end in a draw?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $951.25

Yes position

Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $904.59

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $900

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $890.2

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $890

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $885.2

Yes position

Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $846.19

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $817.6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $672.6

No position

Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $664.7

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $639.92

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 December 8-14?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $638.38

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $622.22

Under position

CD Leganés vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $590.3

Most Wanted position

Dota 2: Most Wanted vs Team Lynx (BO3)

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $572.73

Mavericks position

Nets vs. Mavericks

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $555.93

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 22% 18,181.82 shares
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5

Under 72.8% 549.79 shares
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Yes 21.5% 135.58 shares
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Yes 22.4% 135.58 shares
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Yes 73% 54.79 shares
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Yes 76% 526.38 shares
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 31% 774.19 shares
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Under 32% 781.25 shares
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)

Bosnia and Herzegovina 85% 352.94 shares
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)

Bosnia and Herzegovina 83% 602.41 shares
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?

No 74% 494.9 shares
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Yes 56% 339.29 shares