Polymarket Trader

KAI2026B3

0xd27de9f83ff9f5c2ef769fa966fca1ea5966fa96

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.47K
Realized PnL: $5.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $169.67
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.39K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$530.33

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $146.51
Potential payout: $5.43K
Potential profit: $5.28K
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: $97.01

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $295.77
Potential payout: $2.82K
Potential profit: $2.52K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$204.23

Yes position

Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $104.01
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $2.56K
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: $4.01

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $71.62
Potential payout: $2.27K
Potential profit: $2.2K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$178.37

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $821.18
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $401.65

Yes position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $128.97
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: -$21.03

Yes position

Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $36.85
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.3K
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$33.15

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $75.46
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $958.28
Multiplier: 13.70x
User PnL: $25.46

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $47.38
Potential payout: $803.03
Potential profit: $755.65
Multiplier: 16.95x
User PnL: -$2.62

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 52.3%
Current value: $327.72
Potential payout: $627.22
Potential profit: $299.5
Multiplier: 1.91x
User PnL: $227.73

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $66.01
Potential payout: $561.8
Potential profit: $495.79
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $16.01

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $48.21
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $308.93
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $42.66
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $269.84
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$7.34

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $84.45
Potential payout: $183.78
Potential profit: $99.33
Multiplier: 2.18x
User PnL: -$28.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $998.06

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500.92

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $402.34

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.37

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 25.7%
Multiplier: 3.89x
User PnL: $271.86

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $167.67

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.88

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.12

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.08

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.45

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.61

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $79.21

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.33

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.02

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.27

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.31

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $45.57

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.28

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $37.29

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.21

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.09

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.43

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Yes 4.8% 1,033.74 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 25.9% 100 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 25.9% 100 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 24.5% 150 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

Yes 12.5% 50 shares
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?

Yes 41.7% 61.26 shares
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?

Yes 42.1% 81.68 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 73% 382.48 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

Yes 0.9% 5,476.27 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 24.5% 815.98 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 22.1% 1,358.88 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 52.3% 382.48 shares