No position
OpenAI browser by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.97
- Potential profit
- $2.97
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Polymarket Trader
alice-et914
0xd2808417f92b6d2e091bd00885a59ee3896f9a55
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.26
- Realized PnL
- $5.67
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $0.78
- Potential payout
- $1.55
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.49
- Potential payout
- $1.49
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
Jazz position
Pacers vs. Jazz
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
TikTok sale announced before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
$2000 position
Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 31% 3.66 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 30% 3.67 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No 65.2% 1.97 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No 55.8% 1.97 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 31% 1.81 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 61% 1.8 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?No 68% 1.74 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?No 63% 1.75 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k 29% 2.03 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k 54% 2.04 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 76% 1.46 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 47% 2.68 shares