Polymarket Trader

0xd281...a3c9

0xd28142454d575c37c33ba05f9046292eae91a3c9

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $3.04K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 10.6%
Current value: $148.59
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 9.48x
User PnL: -$9.16

Yes position

Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $167.5
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$31.02

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $278.49
Potential payout: $856.88
Potential profit: $578.4
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $72.84

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $428.8
Potential payout: $794.07
Potential profit: $365.27
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $269.98

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $118.1
Potential payout: $761.95
Potential profit: $643.85
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $11.43

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $135.67
Potential payout: $646.06
Potential profit: $510.39
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $51.68

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 38.4%
Current value: $237.93
Potential payout: $619.62
Potential profit: $381.69
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $166.06

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $134.12
Potential payout: $609.65
Potential profit: $475.53
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$54.87

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 68.7%
Current value: $401.73
Potential payout: $585.19
Potential profit: $183.46
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $217.4

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $93.56
Potential payout: $445.51
Potential profit: $351.95
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: $8.91

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $108.83
Potential payout: $403.09
Potential profit: $294.25
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$32.25

Yes position

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.6%
Current value: $37.96
Potential payout: $397.5
Potential profit: $359.54
Multiplier: 10.47x
User PnL: $4.17

Yes position

Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.7%
Current value: $28.51
Potential payout: $328.11
Potential profit: $299.6
Multiplier: 11.51x
User PnL: -$7.58

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 70.1%
Current value: $225.06
Potential payout: $321.28
Potential profit: $96.22
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $90.44

No position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $57.24
Potential payout: $317.99
Potential profit: $260.76
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $3.18

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $57.83
Potential payout: $312.59
Potential profit: $254.76
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$7.81

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $3.59
Potential payout: $247.88
Potential profit: $244.29
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$73.25

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $49.02
Potential payout: $245.08
Potential profit: $196.06
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $4.9

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $50.24
Potential payout: $245.07
Potential profit: $194.83
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $6.13

Yes position

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $28.13
Potential payout: $234.43
Potential profit: $206.3
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$4.69

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $64.41
Potential payout: $211.18
Potential profit: $146.77
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$34.84

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $83.34
Potential payout: $198.42
Potential profit: $115.08
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$13.89

No position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $33.4
Potential payout: $190.88
Potential profit: $157.48
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $8.59

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $69.55
Potential payout: $171.72
Potential profit: $102.17
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $40.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 47% 35 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 72% 34.46 shares
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?

Yes 11.2% 1,245.05 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 61% 44.39 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Yes 90% 27.57 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 20% 794.07 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Yes 87% 28.52 shares
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?

No 57% 43.53 shares
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

No 62% 74.88 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?

Yes 13% 646.06 shares
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June?

Yes 18% 26.59 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

No 31% 247.88 shares