0xB78e20702E8725554894220323127F940056Aa60-1762520225656

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $298.2
Potential profit: $298.2
User PnL: -$104.37

Buse position

Set 1 Winner: Buse vs Moutet

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233.1
Potential profit: $233.1
User PnL: -$0.23

Over position

Rinderknech vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 21.5

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233.1
Potential profit: $233.1
User PnL: -$0.23

Over position

Brancaccio vs. Marcinko: Match O/U 21.5

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233.1
Potential profit: $233.1
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Russia enter Shevchenko by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $228.2
Potential profit: $228.2
User PnL: -$61.61

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $215.4
Potential profit: $208.4
Multiplier: 30.77x
User PnL: -$8.08

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $173
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $27
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $39

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $27
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $173
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$39

No position

Will Inter Milan qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.6
Potential profit: $197.6
User PnL: -$42.48

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during Ohio visit?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173.53
Potential profit: $173.53
User PnL: -$48.59

Yes position

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $13.87
Potential payout: $173.4
Potential profit: $159.53
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$48.55

Yes position

Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $164.7
Potential profit: $163.88
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$12.35

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$70.5

Yes position

Will Plasma reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $17.83
Potential payout: $148.6
Potential profit: $130.77
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$30.21

No position

Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in March 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.4
Potential profit: $138.4
User PnL: -$71.97

Yes position

Will SZA have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $29.24
Potential payout: $136
Potential profit: $106.76
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$37.4

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.27
Potential profit: $114.27
User PnL: -$59.42

Yes position

Surf FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $74.65
Potential payout: $113.1
Potential profit: $38.45
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $11.31

Yes position

Will Belal Muhammad become UFC champion in 2026?

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $6.67
Potential payout: $111.09
Potential profit: $104.42
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$46.16

No position

Will SOFR hit 3.70% (High) between April 1 and April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$51.7

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $62.59
Potential payout: $105.2
Potential profit: $42.61
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $12.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.2

Yes position

Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.96

No position

Will "Massacre" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.69

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.24

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102

Yes position

Will XRP reach $1.60 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.24

No position

US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.16

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $78

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74

Yes position

Will Trump say "Chicken" or "KFC" during Kentucky visit?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.92

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.38

No position

Will Trump say "UK" or "United Kingdom" during Ohio visit?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.51

No position

Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.47

Yes position

Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during Kentucky visit?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.15

Manitoba Moose position

AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Calgary Wranglers

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.3

Yes position

Will "Ballet" be said at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.59

No position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.86

No position

Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times during Ohio visit?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.84

Yes position

Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Kentucky visit?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.32

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.3

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.04

No position

Will there be 3+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in December?