No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $2.13K
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $172.5
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $178.89
Polymarket Trader
tony778
0xd286876350bf833452276bec80d4388c6341d55d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.92K
- Realized PnL
- $651.56
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $262.48
- Potential payout
- $299.98
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $7.36
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $280.51
- Potential payout
- $290.83
- Potential profit
- $10.32
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $28.52
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $103.74
- Potential payout
- $125.74
- Potential profit
- $22
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $63.94
- Potential payout
- $121.79
- Potential profit
- $57.85
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $58.25
- Potential profit
- $53.36
- Multiplier
- 11.90x
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $21.22
- Potential payout
- $22.69
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $14.06
- Potential payout
- $19.94
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $14.6
- Potential payout
- $16.49
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.2%
- Current value
- $12
- Potential payout
- $13.32
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $2.77
- Potential payout
- $4.94
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $3.53
- Potential payout
- $3.86
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $2.53
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $2.28
- Potential payout
- $2.41
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.6%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $1.45
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
RED Canids Academy position
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs ALKA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Playoffs
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.41
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.65
Yes position
Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.55
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.09
Yes position
Will Kash Patel be Trump's FBI director?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.98
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.52
No position
Trump out as President in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.69
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.27
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Japan in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.12
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Hornets
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
No position
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
Yes position
Will 50-100k federal employees accept the buyout?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
Pacers position
Celtics vs. Pacers
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Jazz position
Mavericks vs. Jazz
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Pacers position
Pacers vs. Hornets
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds position
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. Army Black Knights
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Lightning position
Avalanche vs. Lightning
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Miami (OH) RedHawks position
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Toledo Rockets
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Mount St. Marys Mountaineers position
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
76ers position
76ers vs. Magic
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Maple Leafs position
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 83% 1.38 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 93% 14.4 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 88% 5.4 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 88% 34.09 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 83% 3.61 shares
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs ALKA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June PlayoffsRED Canids Academy 71% 1.41 shares
- Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs University War (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: PlayoffsKRÜ Spark 85% 1.18 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 88% 22.73 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes 68.9% 1.45 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 46% 121.78 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No 79% 2.53 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 77% 10.38 shares