Polymarket Trader

0xd28A58D7752255D74F31B7430BE037Ce4895635A-1773949114502

0xd28a58d7752255d74f31b7430be037ce4895635a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $32.95
Realized PnL: -$129.58
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833
Potential profit: $833
User PnL: -$49.98

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $15.3
Potential payout: $255
Potential profit: $239.7
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$33.15

$60k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92
Potential profit: $92
User PnL: -$49.68

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75%
Current value: $17.65
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $5.88
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: -$2.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.79

Yes position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.95

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68

Yes position

Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big Ten conference?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $1.03

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$45.47

Yes position

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$49.91

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 86% 12.82 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 99.9% 183.9 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 75% 183.91 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 99.3% 2.06 shares
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

Yes 97.1% 11.94 shares
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Yes 96% 19.73 shares
Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Yes 83% 52.63 shares
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 78% 12.82 shares
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

Yes 83.7% 11.95 shares
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Yes 76% 13.16 shares
Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Yes 76% 13.16 shares
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes 85% 23.53 shares