Polymarket Trader

thedepegger

@thedepegger

0xd28e710bda63c6affcbb76a8cf592de3c14e43cd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.07
Realized PnL: $810.78
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$117.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $130
User PnL: -$15.6

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$61.82

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$37

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.99
Potential profit: $89.99
User PnL: -$52.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.01
Potential profit: $86.01
User PnL: -$26.24

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $67
User PnL: -$32.83

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$30.4

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $8.27
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $30.19
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $3.27

Croatia position

Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.38
Potential profit: $30.38
User PnL: -$12

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $24.06
Potential profit: $14.55
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $4.5

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $8.3
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $9.55
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $3.3

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.36
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $164.15

Yes position

Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.4

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.95

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.8

No position

Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.1

No position

Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.9

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.6

No position

Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.6

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.96

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.23

No position

Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.22

No position

Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.6

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.46

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.08

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.9

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.78

No position

Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

No position

Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.31

Yes position

Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.96

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

No 13% 38.46 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

No 28% 17.86 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?

No 20.8% 24.06 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Croatia 39.5% 30.38 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 29.5% 12.12 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 41.2% 12.12 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 28.5% 31.25 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 16% 31.25 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02? AND Will France win on 2026-07-04? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

0.3% 1,195.32 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 99.9% 23.8 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 21% 23.81 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 44% 11.36 shares