Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$600
Polymarket Trader
Adamtulu
0xd294b84f6285efc73eaf69931133d751f7734786
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.9K
- Realized PnL
- $1.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $84.94
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $21.85
No position
Canada recession before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $966.81
- Potential profit
- $966.81
- User PnL
- -$501
No position
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $389.53
- Potential payout
- $445.18
- Potential profit
- $55.65
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $23.25
No position
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Ends Jan 29, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $283.67
- Potential payout
- $317.31
- Potential profit
- $33.63
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$16.33
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$90
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $668.96
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.39
No position
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.87
No position
Will Russia capture Sumy before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.85
No position
Will Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.88
No position
Will Bloc Québécois win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.16
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.86
No position
Another Canada election called in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.41
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.78
No position
US strikes Iran by October 31?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.42
No position
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.05
No position
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.39
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.02
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.58
No position
Mark Carney out as leader of Liberals in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.13
No position
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.92
No position
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.03
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $22.99
No position
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.77
Yes position
Pam Bondi confirmed as Attorney General?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.4
Yes position
US inauguration on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.86
No position
Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.41
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.96
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes 77% 1,076.84 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 89.5% 919.54 shares
- Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No 82.3% 445.18 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 87% 919.54 shares
- Iran nuclear test before 2027?No 91.8% 1,306.79 shares
- Negative GDP growth in 2026?No 94.5% 317.31 shares
- Canada recession before 2027?No 51.8% 966.81 shares
- US recession in 2025?No 99.7% 1,015.62 shares
- Another Canada election called in 2025?No 97% 755.43 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No 94% 779.67 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No 88% 779.67 shares
- Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31?No 93.7% 106.75 shares