Polymarket Trader

0xd2a1...4ca0

0xd2a1c2356cabd7eed1d90cdc2be0f8471e0d4ca0

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $300.27
Realized PnL: $1.39K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $23.46
Potential payout: $680.02
Potential profit: $656.56
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$2.49

Yes position

Haiti elections delayed again?

Ends Aug 30, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $77.9
Potential payout: $119.85
Potential profit: $41.95
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$7.23

Yes position

Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.1%
Current value: $25.03
Potential payout: $88.97
Potential profit: $63.93
Multiplier: 3.55x
User PnL: $5.35

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $35.7
Potential payout: $52.12
Potential profit: $16.42
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $6.44

Yes position

Will Catherine West be in the Burnham cabinet?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $5.12
Potential payout: $42.69
Potential profit: $37.57
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$15.8

No position

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $36.51
Potential payout: $37.12
Potential profit: $0.61
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.81

No position

Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $28.38
Potential payout: $33.39
Potential profit: $5.01
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Will Jack Grealish join Everton?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $14.94
Potential payout: $27.93
Potential profit: $12.99
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$1.54

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $11.35
Potential payout: $15.23
Potential profit: $3.88
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$1.52

No position

Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will MrBeast say "Chandler" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $9.88
Potential payout: $11.55
Potential profit: $1.68
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Red Line" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $9.76
Potential payout: $11.1
Potential profit: $1.33
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.67

No position

Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $6.65
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $3.5
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $3.72
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $3.26
Potential payout: $3.68
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Eliminate" or "Eliminated" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $1.18
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.72

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $194.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.6

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.14

Mary Stoiana position

Birmingham: Celine Naef vs Mary Stoiana

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.3

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.91

Mika Stojsavljevic position

Birmingham: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Elvina Kalieva

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.68

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $43.08

Over position

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.73

No position

Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $41.15

9z position

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.41

Under position

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.23

Yes position

Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.64

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.04

Atlanta Braves position

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video?

No 89% 1.87 shares
Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video?

No 89% 2.48 shares
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Yes 99.7% 9.03 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

No 99.6% 10.53 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 58% 16.84 shares
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?

No 91% 4.08 shares
Haiti elections delayed again?

Yes 73.6% 8.6 shares
Haiti elections delayed again?

Yes 69% 9.17 shares
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?

No 90.5% 13.6 shares
Haiti elections delayed again?

Yes 69% 9.46 shares
Haiti elections delayed again?

Yes 69% 9.46 shares
Haiti elections delayed again?

Yes 68% 9.6 shares