Polymarket Trader

dioboia

0xd2a47cb15eeabb17391600fe7e7c8028936a5044

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $119.78
Realized PnL: $230.59
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $101.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $298.2
Multiplier: 3.93x
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$8.96

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.83
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$3.38

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$15.16

Yes position

Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$13.6

Yes position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.22
Potential profit: $29.22
User PnL: -$10.23

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $16.81
Potential payout: $18.57
Potential profit: $1.76
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $3.64

Yes position

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $3.64
User PnL: -$1.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.8

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.53

Yes position

Will Sal Da Vinci win Sanremo 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.79

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.76

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.8

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.3

Yes position

Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

Yes position

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 29?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.84

Yes position

Will Exxon Mobil (XOM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.88

Yes position

Will Melania say "Future" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will "President" be said at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Mikaela Shiffrin (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Women's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Mikaela Shiffrin (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Women's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.7

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or higher on April 14?

No 36% 28.08 shares
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Yes 3.7% 68 shares
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?

Yes 35% 28.44 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 64% 20 shares
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 12.8% 30 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 37.9% 15 shares
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 12.8% 40 shares
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Yes 50% 5 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

No 85.6% 20 shares
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Yes 67% 8 shares
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Yes 67% 20 shares
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

Yes 31% 20 shares