No position
Will Baldur's Gate 3 win Labor of Love at the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $164.49
- Potential profit
- $164.49
- User PnL
- -$63.93
Polymarket Trader
crypotec
0xd2ab2aecccecfb76108a636fda27509d266da1a9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.19
- Realized PnL
- $287.96
- Win rate
- 14.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $6.34
- Potential payout
- $32.5
- Potential profit
- $26.16
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $1.84
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $2.54
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $328.88
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 59% 2.54 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 39% 3.85 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 14% 10 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 15% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 80% 2.02 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 14% 10 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 15% 10 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 14% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 20% 7.5 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 15% 10 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 14% 10 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 15% 10 shares