PolinaX

Implied probability: 7.7%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.43
Multiplier: 12.99x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.68
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.79
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on April 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.9
Potential profit: $4.9
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.87
Potential profit: $4.87
User PnL: -$2.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.84
Potential profit: $4.84
User PnL: -$1.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.82
Potential profit: $4.82
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.82
Potential profit: $4.82
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.29
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $1.66
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$0.77

Toronto Blue Jays position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

New York Yankees position

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64
Potential profit: $1.64
User PnL: -$1

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.62
Potential profit: $1.62
User PnL: -$0.99

Los Angeles Dodgers position

San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $1.59
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.3
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $1.1
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123

Kings position

Kings vs. Grizzlies

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.7

Heat position

Heat vs. Hawks

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.92

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.7

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Pistons

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.3

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Warriors

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

Lakers position

Mavericks vs. Lakers

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.8

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Nuggets

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.93

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Mavericks

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.22

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.7

Yes position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.05

Spurs position

Magic vs. Spurs

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.61

Nets position

Wizards vs. Nets

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.3

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.05

Lakers position

76ers vs. Lakers

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.01

Yes position

Will Udinese Calcio vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.7

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.02

Celtics position

Heat vs. Celtics

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.6

Trail Blazers position

Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Kings