Yes position
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $49.22
- Potential payout
- $946.63
- Potential profit
- $897.4
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Polymarket Trader
0xD2cba0c6464F96d2567eCC81D5F708d9670e7729-1776513816323
0xd2cba0c6464f96d2567ecc81d5f708d9670e7729
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.63K
- Realized PnL
- $340.61
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $610.92
- Potential profit
- $610.92
- User PnL
- -$577.51
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $497.16
- Potential payout
- $568.18
- Potential profit
- $71.02
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$2.84
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $297.22
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $258.33
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$2.78
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.65
- Potential profit
- $500.65
- User PnL
- -$430.55
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $41.51
- Potential payout
- $458.72
- Potential profit
- $417.2
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- -$8.49
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $401.77
- Potential payout
- $441.5
- Potential profit
- $39.74
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $151.74
- Potential payout
- $164.05
- Potential profit
- $12.3
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $16.67
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $116.67
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $103.75
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $21.25
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $72.55
- Potential payout
- $119.91
- Potential profit
- $47.37
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$27.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $98.94
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $51.37
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $34.58
Yes position
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.07
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $22.85
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $22.3
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $15.7
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $10.73
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.8
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3.85
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 80% 125 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 90.6% 441.5 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?No 88% 568.18 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 98% 606.98 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 98.6% 358.31 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 10.9% 458.72 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 91% 230.89 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No 92% 326.08 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94.2% 260.82 shares
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?No 91% 164.83 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 95% 128.26 shares
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No 89% 21.38 shares