No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28K
- Potential profit
- $28K
- User PnL
- -$28
Polymarket Trader
0xD2CbD09922bD25B4cEC888c483e2B05cdC8443ee-1780563164460
0xd2cbd09922bd25b4cec888c483e2b05cdc8443ee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $185.85
- Realized PnL
- $246.16
- Win rate
- 60%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.02K
- Potential profit
- $27.02K
- User PnL
- -$270
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $18.72
- Potential payout
- $3.74K
- Potential profit
- $3.73K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.28
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $16.24
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.48K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$13.76
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $13.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $8.13
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $996.5
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $14.07
- Potential payout
- $907.51
- Potential profit
- $893.45
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$25.93
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $16.4
- Potential payout
- $800.01
- Potential profit
- $783.61
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $27.64
- Potential payout
- $747
- Potential profit
- $719.36
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$17.36
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $36.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $213.75
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $6.25
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $13.38
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $236.63
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $3.38
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $3.63
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $115.42
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $9.16
- Potential payout
- $114.44
- Potential profit
- $105.29
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.75
- Potential profit
- $93.75
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $195.34
No position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $63.48
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Multiplier
- 22.99x
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- -$14.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes 1% 1,000 shares
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?Yes 3.5% 249 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes 1% 500 shares
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?Yes 4.4% 454.55 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.2% 476.19 shares
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?Yes 4.1% 121.3 shares
- Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 8.7% 114.44 shares
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 500 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 4.2% 119.05 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes 0.8% 625 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes 2.5% 800 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes 0.5% 1,000 shares