Polymarket Trader

DarkleyWilling

0xd2d5f3f083144bc5b079dc25d8324e42da34df2f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.89K
Realized PnL: $21.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.36K
Potential profit: $51.36K
User PnL: -$199.94

Yes position

Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $460.49
Potential payout: $43.86K
Potential profit: $43.4K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$89.42

Yes position

Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.99K
Potential profit: $28.99K
User PnL: -$2.8K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $337.55
Potential payout: $21.1K
Potential profit: $20.76K
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$862.43

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.5K
User PnL: -$999.99

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.36K
Potential profit: $5.36K
User PnL: -$749.99

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.95K
Potential profit: $4.95K
User PnL: -$300

Butler Bulldogs position

Butler Bulldogs vs. Creighton Bluejays

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.83K
Potential profit: $4.83K
User PnL: -$1.2K

Butler Bulldogs position

Butler Bulldogs vs. St. John's Red Storm

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.83K
Potential profit: $4.83K
User PnL: -$655.51

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.27K
Potential profit: $4.27K
User PnL: -$111.63

Yes position

Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85K
Potential profit: $3.85K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $62.5

Butler Bulldogs position

Butler Bulldogs vs. Connecticut Huskies

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $2.05K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Weston McKennie: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $2.05K
User PnL: -$420

Yes position

Brenden Aaronson: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.95K
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.95K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Kamal Deen Sulemana: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$335

Yes position

Virgil van Dijk: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.85K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.82K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.73K
User PnL: -$315

Yes position

Will the Baltimore Ravens, Green Bay Packers, and Dallas Cowboys all win on Thanksgiving?

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.58K
User PnL: -$240

Butler Bulldogs position

Butler Bulldogs vs. Xavier Musketeers

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Gavi Paez: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Indiana Pacers receive the first overall pick at the 2026 NBA Draft Lottery?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$200

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Denver Broncos win the AFC West?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.21K

Yes position

Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53K

Yes position

Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23K

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Thunder

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17K

Yes position

NBA Finals G3: Pacers win and Haliburton scores 18+ points?

Ends Jun 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88K

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $954.84

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $35 before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $525.78

Yes position

Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $417.51

Cubs position

Cardinals vs. Cubs

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $411.11

Rams position

1H Spread: Rams (-1.5)

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $386.36

Butler Bulldogs position

Spread: Butler Bulldogs (-2.5)

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340

USA position

Men's Final - Canada vs. USA

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.3

Yes position

Solana ETF approved by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $333.88

Yes position

Will Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.89

Butler Bulldogs position

Providence Friars vs. Butler Bulldogs

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.82

Yes position

Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $237.38

Seton Hall Pirates position

Seton Hall Pirates vs. Butler Bulldogs

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.86

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.99

Yes position

Will Trump say "Scam" or "Hoax" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.83

Yes position

Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.08

No position

Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.2

Miami position

Miami vs. Texas A&M

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.15

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Multiplier: 17.54x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Brenden Aaronson: 1+ goals

Yes 21.1% 712.36 shares
Brenden Aaronson: 1+ goals

Yes 20.2% 1,238.1 shares
Donyell Malen: 1+ goals

Yes 44% 227.27 shares
Virgil van Dijk: 1+ goals

Yes 15.1% 662.36 shares
Donyell Malen: 1+ goals

Yes 42.8% 467.8 shares
Virgil van Dijk: 1+ goals

Yes 16.8% 1,192.37 shares
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Yes 18.6% 1,075 shares
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Yes 18% 555.56 shares
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Yes 78% 705.51 shares
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 32.7% 122.49 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 1.3% 9,006.23 shares
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?

Yes 1.7% 7,106.23 shares