Polymarket Trader

0xd311392D5a938Ccc2bcb2Ce3d19E427A24931c1e-1769859980738

0xd311392d5a938ccc2bcb2ce3d19e427a24931c1e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $95.82
Realized PnL: $619.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $85.48
Potential payout: $161.29
Potential profit: $75.81
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $35.48

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.59
Potential profit: $92.59
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $9.17
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $24.17
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.79
Potential profit: $32.79
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.79
Potential profit: $32.79
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

FC Bayern München leading at halftime?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.78
Potential profit: $32.78
User PnL: -$5

Under position

FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 11.5 Total Corners

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.77
Potential profit: $30.77
User PnL: -$20

Under position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Netherlands vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $12.82
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $9.94
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.11

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.7

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.83

No position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.55

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.18

Under position

FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.85

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.29

No position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.75

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.82

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.49

Yes position

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $8.12

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.01

Yes position

FC Barcelona leading at halftime?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.07

No position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35

Yes position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Yes 30% 33.33 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 31% 161.29 shares
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 0.5

Under 5.4% 18.52 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 67% 59.7 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 65% 30.77 shares
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?

Yes 39% 12.82 shares
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Over 40% 12.5 shares
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

Under 62% 32.26 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Yes 3.4% 58.82 shares