No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.56K
- Potential profit
- $22.56K
- User PnL
- -$22.56
Polymarket Trader
0xD324e20e3462d859a2913C5bfD162Ed7F9Aeb23c-1773152871743
0xd324e20e3462d859a2913c5bfd162ed7f9aeb23c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.38K
- Realized PnL
- $23.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.65K
- Potential profit
- $6.65K
- User PnL
- -$1.02K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.8%
- Current value
- $408.72
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $592.06
- Multiplier
- 2.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.1%
- Current value
- $561.53
- Potential payout
- $747.71
- Potential profit
- $186.18
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $100.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $371.43
- Potential profit
- $371.43
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $122.92
- Potential payout
- $258.78
- Potential profit
- $135.86
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $9.42
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.7%
- Current value
- $179.14
- Potential payout
- $253.56
- Potential profit
- $74.42
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $79.14
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $233.17
- Potential profit
- $233.17
- User PnL
- -$70
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $200.01
- User PnL
- -$70
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $51.13
- Potential payout
- $70.52
- Potential profit
- $19.39
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$10
N
No position
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $52.44
- Potential payout
- $60.98
- Potential profit
- $8.54
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $2.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.12
- Potential profit
- $11.12
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18K
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $931.86
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $886.62
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $849.03
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $729.11
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $717.2
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $687.17
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $658.45
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $588.97
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $479.82
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $460.86
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $420.02
Yes position
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $419.72
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.01
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $386.93
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $382.91
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.45
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $356.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 30.9% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 30.2% 20 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 43.6% 59.59 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 52% 59.59 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 71% 28.17 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 43.3% 114.28 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 53% 56.6 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 81.8% 48.9 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 52.8% 94.71 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No 82% 60.98 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No 70.8% 42.34 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 46% 108.7 shares