Polymarket Trader

ilCiava

0xd33cefe41500fd8c46b733575eb09527475a40f1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.34K
Realized PnL: $386.91
Win rate: 72.7%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $137.03
Potential payout: $6.68K
Potential profit: $6.55K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$114.82

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $723.15
Potential payout: $3.91K
Potential profit: $3.19K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$367.64

Yes position

Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $35.16
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.57K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$176.99

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58.1%
Current value: $510.84
Potential payout: $879.99
Potential profit: $369.16
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $434.66

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $612.89
Potential payout: $721.05
Potential profit: $108.16
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $211.85

No position

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 89.1%
Current value: $315.97
Potential payout: $354.62
Potential profit: $38.65
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $15.97

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: $158

Yes position

Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $61.61

No position

Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.5

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 87.1%
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $26.44

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.51

No position

Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $17.8

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.52

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $14.04

Yes position

Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.49

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Multiplier: 7.72x
User PnL: $11.38

No position

Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $8.86

No position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $7.67

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.59

Yes position

Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.14

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 10% 85.02 shares
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

No 87.8% 28.47 shares
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 1.8% 2,787.99 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Yes 99.7% 51.66 shares
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 16% 1,812.5 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Yes 60% 51.67 shares
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Yes 52.6% 51.01 shares
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Yes 5% 47.12 shares
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Yes 31.8% 47.13 shares
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Yes 66.6% 51.02 shares
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Yes 5.7% 1,754.39 shares
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 1.8% 5,522.67 shares