Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $51
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $549
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$213
Polymarket Trader
XunShengBu
0xd34cde3e156df6bc6c9f8fc89525a0c8b0af61ff
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $201.78
- Realized PnL
- -$60.03
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $125.25
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $24.75
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $51.75
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $25.53
- Potential payout
- $138
- Potential profit
- $112.47
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$18.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.31
Ochoa position
Zuffa Boxing 4: Ochoa vs. Serrano (Lightweight, Prelims)
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$11.78
No position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25.12
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$27.44
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$124.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 44% 200 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 44% 200 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 44% 200 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No 37% 200 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No 37% 200 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No 37% 200 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes 64% 166 shares
- Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 6?Down 50% 50 shares
- Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 6?Down 50% 50 shares
- Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 6?Down 50% 50 shares
- Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 6?Down 47.4% 50 shares
- Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 6?Down 46% 50 shares