Polymarket Trader

Gold.Mansacks

0xd353c5971f18b51941a1d29ffdc2e63ca7fcf6ac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $47.35K
Realized PnL: $69.38K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $305.72K
Potential profit: $305.72K
User PnL: -$2.33K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.63K
Potential profit: $35.63K
User PnL: -$13.65K

Yes position

Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $25.76K
Potential payout: $32.6K
Potential profit: $6.85K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$101.98

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $30K
User PnL: -$2.52K

Yes position

Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.77K
Potential profit: $26.77K
User PnL: -$17.09K

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.39K
Potential profit: $26.39K
User PnL: -$16.19K

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.8K
Potential profit: $18.8K
User PnL: -$12.5K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $9.9K
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $2.1K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $460.01

Lopes position

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$4.92K

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.89K
Potential profit: $8.89K
User PnL: -$4.89K

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $6.94K
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $562.45
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.42K

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $6.67K
User PnL: -$3.78K

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.51K
Potential profit: $6.51K
User PnL: -$4.09K

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.5K
Potential profit: $6.5K
User PnL: -$3.06K

No position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with China before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.39K
Potential profit: $6.39K
User PnL: -$3.72K

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.03K
Potential profit: $6.03K
User PnL: -$469.88

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.6%
Current value: $4.75K
Potential payout: $5.25K
Potential profit: $496.12
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $461.68

Weili position

UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$2.25K

Israel Adesanya position

UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$2.85K

Lerone Murphy position

UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$1.6K

Malcolm Wellmaker position

UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$2.74K

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,600 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$1.42K

Johnny Walker position

UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.44K
Potential profit: $3.44K
User PnL: -$1.41K

Della Maddalena position

UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$675

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.73K

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.27K

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.83K

Zahabi position

Aldo vs. Zahabi

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.53K

Shevchenko position

Shevchenko vs. Fiorot

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3K

de Ridder position

de Ridder vs. Nickal

Ends May 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02K

Lopes position

Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72K

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54K

Morales position

UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52K

Carlos Ulberg position

UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49K

Vicente Luque position

UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42K

Yan position

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34K

Ruffy position

UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32K

Knicks position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3K

Lance Gibson Jr. position

UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19K

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2K

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88K

No position

Will Solana reach $160 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81K

No position

Ethereum above $2,500 on August 30?

Ends Aug 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81K

No position

Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

Ankalaev position

Pereira vs. Ankalaev

Ends Mar 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 83% 555.82 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

No 83% 269.41 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 83.4% 30 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 72.7% 55 shares
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

No 69% 2,041.37 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 72.7% 500 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

No 90.7% 15 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 78% 1,700.67 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

No 90.7% 15 shares
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Yes 79% 268.52 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ciryl Gane 48% 6,000 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Alex Pereira 52% 2,000 shares